Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.377870 0.497082 0.627602 0.778949 0.947672 1.128295 1.334676
2025-03-23 0.217072 0.372039 0.562247 0.801920 1.086911 1.407724 1.789658
2025-03-30 0.133084 0.294021 0.511920 0.803725 1.165686 1.585677 2.097433
2025-04-06 0.072279 0.224427 0.455785 0.785454 1.210791 1.717577 2.347214
2025-04-13 0.047048 0.198716 0.451491 0.827391 1.324702 1.926879 2.683649
2025-04-20 0.029760 0.178573 0.450288 0.869944 1.436947 2.132550 3.014700
2025-04-27 0.018734 0.164949 0.455752 0.919426 1.556567 2.346235 3.354676
2025-05-04 0.014090 0.165205 0.482892 0.999151 1.715490 2.608456 3.753262
2025-05-11 0.007874 0.154095 0.488366 1.046176 1.830437 2.815625 4.085165
2025-05-18 0.002193 0.132231 0.470804 1.056865 1.895353 2.959221 4.339191
2025-05-25 NaN 0.093262 0.412060 0.999969 1.865251 2.980464 4.441771
2025-06-01 NaN 0.059982 0.352933 0.935621 1.820215 2.979263 4.513901
2025-06-08 NaN 0.039431 0.315518 0.905445 1.825383 3.047396 4.679186
2025-06-15 NaN 0.031718 0.309420 0.927922 1.906530 3.215906 4.972060
2025-06-22 NaN 0.022464 0.293275 0.930515 1.957291 3.343348 5.212293
2025-06-29 NaN 0.012676 0.266361 0.910593 1.973255 3.423776 5.392578
2025-07-06 NaN 0.011347 0.274467 0.955945 2.086511 3.633844 5.737344
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010212 0.282881 1.001821 2.200633 3.845236 6.084055
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009811 0.295089 1.055091 2.326062 4.071987 6.450590
2025-07-27 NaN 0.012212 0.323795 1.140716 2.500730 4.365106 6.902009
2025-08-03 NaN 0.011497 0.334412 1.191117 2.622138 4.586874 7.262744
2025-08-10 NaN 0.007885 0.325374 1.202563 2.684227 4.728861 7.521797
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001845 0.281701 1.141593 2.633849 4.718024 7.584737